Rupee Depreciates to Lowest Level on Stronger Dollar, Higher Crude Oil Prices, and Widening Trade Deficit

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The Indian rupee depreciated to its lowest level on Friday, September 19, 2023, amid a stronger dollar, higher crude oil prices, and a widening trade deficit. The rupee closed at 83.12 against the US dollar, down 0.25% from the previous close.

The dollar index, which measures the strength of the dollar against a basket of six currencies, rose 0.3% on Friday, supported by expectations of aggressive interest rate hikes by the US Federal Reserve. Crude oil prices also rose on Friday, with Brent crude trading above $95 per barrel.

India’s trade deficit widened to $24.2 billion in August, from $10.6 billion in the previous month. This was also higher than the expected deficit of $21 billion.

Analysts said that the rupee is likely to face resistance near 83.30 and may move back towards 83.00 in the near term, amid softness in the dollar. However, they also said that growing optimism of a Fed pause in its next policy could restrict the rupee’s upside.

 

          

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